Market Insights
Sharp fall in US housing starts (Aug.)
US: Housing starts (Aug.): 1283k vs 1439k expected (prior: 1447k revised from 1452k)
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Housing starts have decreased more than expected over the month; multifamily houses have declined more than single family houses from the prior month.
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Building permits have rebounded over the month for both market segments.
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Rising yields have weighed down on current demand but future demand, seen via building permits, remained sustained notably for multifamily units.
Eurozone: CPI (Aug.): 0.5% m/m vs 0.6% expected (prior: -0.1%)
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Final inflation came just slightly below estimates; the monthly rebound was due to energy (3.3% m/m after -0.2% m/m the prior month).
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Prices of industrialized goods were up by 0.6% m/m after -2.7% m/m the prior month. Core inflation was up by 0.3% m/m after -0.1% m/m the prior month.
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Yearly trend has marginally declined from 5.3% y/y the prior month to 5.2% y/y; core inflation has also declined from 5.5% y/y to 5.3% y/y.
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More favorable base effect on energy should accelerate the yearly decline in September data, but risks related to volatile and firmer oil prices are re-building for year end.
Switzerland: Trade balance (Aug.): 4.05 Bn CHF (prior: 3.13Bn)
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Real exports: 5.9% m/m after -4.9% m/m prior month; real imports: 1.5% m/m after -1.8% m/m prior month.
German IFO: some stabilization and modest rise of expectations
US: Housing starts (Aug.): 1283k vs 1439k expected (prior: 1447k revised from 1452k)
-
Housing starts have decreased more than expected over the month; multifamily houses have declined more than single family houses from the prior month.
-
Building permits have rebounded over the month for both market segments.
-
Rising yields have weighed down on current demand but future demand, seen via building permits, remained sustained notably for multifamily units.
Eurozone: CPI (Aug.): 0.5% m/m vs 0.6% expected (prior: -0.1%)
-
Final inflation came just slightly below estimates; the monthly rebound was due to energy (3.3% m/m after -0.2% m/m the prior month).
-
Prices of industrialized goods were up by 0.6% m/m after -2.7% m/m the prior month. Core inflation was up by 0.3% m/m after -0.1% m/m the prior month.
-
Yearly trend has marginally declined from 5.3% y/y the prior month to 5.2% y/y; core inflation has also declined from 5.5% y/y to 5.3% y/y.
-
More favorable base effect on energy should accelerate the yearly decline in September data, but risks related to volatile and firmer oil prices are re-building for year end.
Switzerland: Trade balance (Aug.): 4.05 Bn CHF (prior: 3.13Bn)
-
Real exports: 5.9% m/m after -4.9% m/m prior month; real imports: 1.5% m/m after -1.8% m/m prior month.
UK: CPI inflation lower than expected, but PPIs a bit firmer
US: Housing starts (Aug.): 1283k vs 1439k expected (prior: 1447k revised from 1452k)
-
Housing starts have decreased more than expected over the month; multifamily houses have declined more than single family houses from the prior month.
-
Building permits have rebounded over the month for both market segments.
-
Rising yields have weighed down on current demand but future demand, seen via building permits, remained sustained notably for multifamily units.
Eurozone: CPI (Aug.): 0.5% m/m vs 0.6% expected (prior: -0.1%)
-
Final inflation came just slightly below estimates; the monthly rebound was due to energy (3.3% m/m after -0.2% m/m the prior month).
-
Prices of industrialized goods were up by 0.6% m/m after -2.7% m/m the prior month. Core inflation was up by 0.3% m/m after -0.1% m/m the prior month.
-
Yearly trend has marginally declined from 5.3% y/y the prior month to 5.2% y/y; core inflation has also declined from 5.5% y/y to 5.3% y/y.
-
More favorable base effect on energy should accelerate the yearly decline in September data, but risks related to volatile and firmer oil prices are re-building for year end.
Switzerland: Trade balance (Aug.): 4.05 Bn CHF (prior: 3.13Bn)
-
Real exports: 5.9% m/m after -4.9% m/m prior month; real imports: 1.5% m/m after -1.8% m/m prior month.
Confidence in manufacturing: improving in US and UK and quite stable in the eurozone; confidence in services: better in the eurozone but weaker in US and UK
US: Housing starts (Aug.): 1283k vs 1439k expected (prior: 1447k revised from 1452k)
-
Housing starts have decreased more than expected over the month; multifamily houses have declined more than single family houses from the prior month.
-
Building permits have rebounded over the month for both market segments.
-
Rising yields have weighed down on current demand but future demand, seen via building permits, remained sustained notably for multifamily units.
Eurozone: CPI (Aug.): 0.5% m/m vs 0.6% expected (prior: -0.1%)
-
Final inflation came just slightly below estimates; the monthly rebound was due to energy (3.3% m/m after -0.2% m/m the prior month).
-
Prices of industrialized goods were up by 0.6% m/m after -2.7% m/m the prior month. Core inflation was up by 0.3% m/m after -0.1% m/m the prior month.
-
Yearly trend has marginally declined from 5.3% y/y the prior month to 5.2% y/y; core inflation has also declined from 5.5% y/y to 5.3% y/y.
-
More favorable base effect on energy should accelerate the yearly decline in September data, but risks related to volatile and firmer oil prices are re-building for year end.
Switzerland: Trade balance (Aug.): 4.05 Bn CHF (prior: 3.13Bn)
-
Real exports: 5.9% m/m after -4.9% m/m prior month; real imports: 1.5% m/m after -1.8% m/m prior month.
US Consumer confidence (Conference Board) lower with rising concerns on future economy
US: Housing starts (Aug.): 1283k vs 1439k expected (prior: 1447k revised from 1452k)
-
Housing starts have decreased more than expected over the month; multifamily houses have declined more than single family houses from the prior month.
-
Building permits have rebounded over the month for both market segments.
-
Rising yields have weighed down on current demand but future demand, seen via building permits, remained sustained notably for multifamily units.
Eurozone: CPI (Aug.): 0.5% m/m vs 0.6% expected (prior: -0.1%)
-
Final inflation came just slightly below estimates; the monthly rebound was due to energy (3.3% m/m after -0.2% m/m the prior month).
-
Prices of industrialized goods were up by 0.6% m/m after -2.7% m/m the prior month. Core inflation was up by 0.3% m/m after -0.1% m/m the prior month.
-
Yearly trend has marginally declined from 5.3% y/y the prior month to 5.2% y/y; core inflation has also declined from 5.5% y/y to 5.3% y/y.
-
More favorable base effect on energy should accelerate the yearly decline in September data, but risks related to volatile and firmer oil prices are re-building for year end.
Switzerland: Trade balance (Aug.): 4.05 Bn CHF (prior: 3.13Bn)
-
Real exports: 5.9% m/m after -4.9% m/m prior month; real imports: 1.5% m/m after -1.8% m/m prior month.